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Noteworthy News – June 10, 2013

Economy:

U.S. Expansion Poised for Longevity – Economist

Japan’s Economic Stimulus Gets Its Second Wind – New York Times

How America Lost Its Way: It is getting ever harder to do business in the United States – Wall Street Journal

U.S. Is Still 10 Million Jobs Away From Normal – Bloomberg

Markets:

S&P raises U.S. credit outlook to stable: ‘Grand bargain’ pressure drops, analyst says – MarketWatch

In some places, homes sell in just one day – MarketWatch

Bubble-hunting: Recovering prices have yet to inflate in any big cities – Economist

How the Robots Lost: High-Frequency Trading’s Rise and Fall – BloombergBusinessWeek

Politics:

Germany fears revolution if Europe scraps welfare model – Reuters

IMF: Our Greek bailout was full of ‘notable failures’ – Washington Post

Banks:

Everything the IMF wanted to know about financial regulation and wasn’t afraid to ask – Vox (Sheila Bair)

 

Posted in Economics, Markets, Media, Politics.


The College Debt Bubble

I have read a few articles that defend the rising costs of college, specifically looking at the current differentials between the lifetime earnings of those with college degrees and those without.  These types of comparisons only make me think of the “Old Economy Steve” meme floating around with the younger generations:

The focus on current graduates has excludes all comparisons to previous generations.  Unfortunately, there are some realities that make Old Economy Steve pretty annoying.  For one, student debt levels are on a trajectory that trumps credit cards and auto loans:

The cost of college tuition in the United States is 2nd only to Switzerland:

And most importantly the cost of education compared to disposable spending has reached a record gap:

As with all unsustainable growth paths, the student loan market will hit a wall.  The only questions are 1) When and 2) What are the repercussions?

The immediate result is that current graduating students have a debt yolk around their necks.  The future market results are currently unknown, but it is almost certain that college students in the future should find cheaper tuition after the student debt bubble deflation forces lower tuition costs.

Posted in Economics, Markets.

Tagged with , , , .


The Outlook for Jobs

The International Labour Organization just released the “World of Work 2013“.  Their findings do not portray exuberance:

  • Based on current trends, employment rates across emerging and developing economies will return to pre-crisis levels in 2015; while employment rates in advanced economies will only return to the precrisis situation after 2017
  • the number of unemployed people will continue to increase unless policies change course. Global unemployment is expected to approach 208 million in 2015, compared with slightly over 200 million at the time of publication
  • over the past 5 years, the incidence of long-term unemployment (the share of unemployed persons out of work for 12 months or more) has increased in 60 per cent of the advanced and developing economies for which data exist
  • many workers have become discouraged and are no longer actively looking for a job. Labour force participation rates decreased between 2007 and 2012 in more than half of the countries analysed

Large declines in employment are shown in Greece, Spain and Portugal:

 

More importantly the social unrest indicator has jumped in European countries:

I guess for now, everyone who works in a cubical prison should be happy

This photo was titled "Overcrowding in American Prisons" on Reddit

Posted in Economics.

Tagged with , , .


Noteworthy News – June 3, 2013

Economy:

Americans haven’t rebuilt 91 percent of their wealth. They’ve rebuilt less than 45 percent – Washington Post

The Real Reason Millennials Don’t Buy Cars and Homes – Yahoo! Finance

Consumer Spending in U.S. Unexpectedly Declined in April – Bloomberg

Towards the End of Poverty – Economist

Markets:

Does Microcredit Deliver On Its Promises? – Planet Money

Mortgage Rates Surge as Fed Tapering Fears Mount – Reuters

Home Prices in U.S. Rise by Most Since 2006 in March – Bloomberg

Politics:

Obamacare’s Original Sin – Bloomberg

The fix for corporate income tax – Reuters

Abe’s Economic Revival Smacks Into Japan’s Reality – Bloomberg


Posted in Economics, Markets, Media, Politics.


Noteworthy News – May 28, 2013

Economy:

More poor people now live in U.S. suburbs than cities – study – Reuters

Economic Prospects for the Long Run – Board of Governers of the Federal Reserve System (Bernanke)

China Plans to Reduce the State’s Role in the Economy – New York Times

Apple CEO Tim Cook says a line of Macs will be built in Texas – Los Angeles Times

Jobless Youth: Europe’s Hollow Efforts to Save a Lost Generation – Spiegel Online

Markets:

Up, Up and Away – New York Times

Was jittery Thursday a foretaste of another global economic crash? – Guardian

Nikkei Downtrend (1982-Present)– The Big Picture

Politics:

Who will pay more under Obamacare? Young men – CNN Money

Untangling What Companies Pay in Taxes – New York Times

Seven thrilling facts about carbon taxes from the CBO – Washington Post

Banks:

Regulating Banks the Austrian Way – Ludwig von Mises Institute

Banks’ Lobbyists Help in Drafting Financial Bills – Dealbook

 

Posted in Economics, Markets, Media, Politics.




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