Skip to content




Happy New Year to Those with Jobs

This recession is definitely different:

What is most depressing of all is that the red line above is actually a rosy viewpoint of the employment picture.  If instead we look at the number of employed divided by the total population:

No change in this statistic, so workers have dropped out of the labor force thereby driving down the unemployment rate.  Brilliant.  You might say, “Hey, we are just back to the 1980’s level!”.  But that was when one person could support a family.

Posted in Economics.

Tagged with , .


Commodities in 2012

Gold and silver experienced another strong year and with today’s release of the Fed minutes saying that the printing press might not extend past 2013, it might lead to some interesting reactions in precious metals.  In 2012 the most interesting commodity was coffee.

You might wonder why your cup of coffee has not decreased in price.  In fact, your Starbuck’s blend has increased by 1% if you are in New York or Atlanta.  Folger’s (J.M Smucker) might have decreased prices 6% in 2012, but only after they increased prices 23% in 2011.  In reality, coffee prices are just back to where they were in 2010:

You can thank the rest of the rise in the end product’s cost to the cost of transportation and the way addiction plays into the supply/demand equation.

Posted in Markets.

Tagged with , , , .


Where to be Born: 2013 Vs 1988

The economist updated its list of where you would be luckiest to be born. In 1988, the United States, Germany and France topped the list. In 2013, Switzerland, Australia and Norway won the top three spots:

Source: Economist

Posted in Economics, Politics.


22,000 Applicants for 400 Delta Flight Attendant Jobs

Starting pay?  The same as 20 years ago, low $20’s.
Source: NPR MarketPlace

 

Posted in Economics, Markets.

Tagged with , .


Structural Endgame

From Charles Hugh Smith:

There are roughly 127 million people who receive government transfers or benefits. Sixty-one million recipients of Social Security and Medicare and 66 million people receiving welfare (SNAP food stamps, housing credits, Medicaid, etc.) Since there are about 115 million full-time jobs in the U.S., this means there are 1.1 government dependents for every full-time worker in the U.S. (For context, there are 315 million Americans and roughly 142 million jobs. About 38 million of these jobs are part-time that pay less than $10,000 annually. Fifty million wage earners earn less than $15,000 a year, and 61 million earn less than $20,000 annually.)

The Federal government counts a person who is self-employed and earns $100 a year as “employed” and a person who works one hour a week as “employed.” As a result, the only meaningful metric is full-time employment.

He goes on to state that the top 1/2% rule, the bottom 50% pay no income tax and the rest are squeezed with taxes:

Put these structural dynamics together and the endgame becomes clearly visible: Politically, a Tyranny of the Majority comprised of those who draw direct transfers/benefits from the Federal government, is ruled by the top ½ of 1% financial aristocracy who own the majority of income-generating assets. The minority, who pay most of the taxes (the 24.5% between the majority and aristocracy), will see their taxes rise as the aristocracy buys loopholes and exclusions while the bottom 50% pay no income tax.

Financially, the Federal government’s spending has outrun the tax revenues being collected. Structurally, Federal expenditures for entitlements (Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, Veterans Administration, etc.) will rise as Baby Boomers retire en masse over the next 15 years, while tax revenues will stagnate along with earned income.

There is no way to square these circles.

The political foundation of America is starkly unjust. An entrenched financial Aristocracy buys the complicity of the bottom 50% and retirees with Federal transfers – a Tyranny of the Majority. The 24.5% below the Aristocracy who pay most of the Federal taxes are dominated by this alliance. This may be legal, but is it just? Even more critically, is it sustainable?

A worthy yet depressing read.

Posted in Politics.




Copyright © 2009-2013 SurlyTrader DISCLAIMER The commentary on this blog is not meant to be taken as an investment advice. The author is not a registered investment adviser. There is no substitute for your own due diligence. Please be aware that investing is inherently a risky business and if you chose to follow any of the advice on this site, then you are accepting the risks associated with that investment. The Author may have also taken positions in the stocks or investments that are being discussed and the author may change his position at any time without warning.

Yellow Pages for USA and Canada SurlyTrader - Blogged

ypblogs.com