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Bond Selloff in Perspective

The recent decline in bond prices has been significant, but actually not on the highest end of selloffs since 1960.  The selloff of a 10 year zero coupon treasury over a 10 month time period is in the bottom distribution, but not extreme by any means:

TwoMonth Treasury Selloff


Despite the unprecedented actions through quantitative easing and the market’s recent interpretation that the fed might lift off the gas pedal, the pace of the selloff is actually a bit slower than it was in 2003:

Bond Market Selloff 2003 2013 1994



So I guess for now, we can stop concerning ourselves with early 1980’s price action.  We just aren’t there yet.


Read the New York Fed’s full report.

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