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Dallas Fed’s View of Easy Money Consequences

The Dallas Federal Reserve is always on the forefront of very honest and unbiased research.  They certainly did not disappoint with their assessment of “Ultra Easy Monetary Policy and the Law of Unintended Consequences”.  If the Dallas Fed holds any clout in the Fed circle, then they might persuade Bernanke to disappoint on Friday.

Their lead-in for the paper gets straight to the point:

“…ultra easy monetary policies can eventually threaten the health of financial institutions and the functioning of financial markets, threaten the “independence” of central banks, and can encourage imprudent behavior on the part of governments. None of these unintended consequences is desirable. Since monetary policy is not “a free lunch”, governments must therefore use much more vigorously the policy levers they still control to support strong, sustainable and balanced growth at the global level.”

They go on through each negative artifact in the real economy and conclude with a few daggers:

“They create malinvestments in the real economy, threaten the health of financial institutions and the functioning of financial markets, constrain the “independent “ pursuit of price stability by central banks, encourage governments to refrain from confronting sovereign debt problems in a timely way, and redistribute income and wealth in a highly regressive fashion. While each medium term effect on its own might be questioned, considered all together they support strongly the proposition that aggressive monetary easing in economic downturns is not “a free lunch”…What central banks have done is to buy time to allow governments to follow the policies that are more likely to lead to a resumption of “strong, sustainable and balanced” global growth. If governments do not use this time wisely, then the ongoing economic and financial crisis can only worsen as the unintended consequences of current monetary policies increasingly materialize.”

 

Definitely worth the read as long as you are not already in a state of depression…

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Posted in Economics, Politics.

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Face of Troubled Homeownership

Zillow released a study about the different cohorts of underwater homeowners.   According to their study, 48% of homeowners aged 25-29 are underwater while 51% of borrowers aged 30-34 are underwater.   Of the borrowers who are underwater, the age cohort 40-50 shows the highest delinquency rates:

It is not surprising to note that the homeowners who purchased homes in 2006 and 2007 are the most likely to be underwater:

To top it off, it is good to see that homeowners are rational borrowers.  The more underwater they are on their mortgages, the more likely they are to default on the loan:

Posted in Economics, Markets, Media.

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Noteworthy News – August 27, 2012

Economy:

Household income is below recession levels, report says – Washington Post

Why the Gold Standard Is the World’s Worst Economic Idea, in 2 Charts – The Atlantic

China eagerly buying up American assets – LA Times

China Confronts Mounting Piles of Unsold Goods – New York Times

The Cheapest Generation: Why Millennials aren’t buying cars or houses, and what that means for the economy – The Atlantic

Markets:

Samsung shares fall after jury orders $1bn in damages – BBC

We Need Inflation-Tolerance, Not Inflation – Slate

On the origin of specie: Theories on where money comes from say something about where the dollar and euro will go – Economist

Politics:

Bernanke says Fed has scope to provide more stimulus – Reuters

Banks:

HSBC In Settlement Talks With U.S. Over Money Laundering – Bloomberg

U.K. Investment Bankers Prefer To Work In Singapore – Bloomberg


Posted in Economics, Markets, Media, Politics.


Noteworthy News – August 20, 2012

Economy:

Skilled Work, Without the Worker – New York Times

U.S. Unadjusted Unemployment 8.3% in Mid-August – Gallup

Economic recovery is weakest since World War II – Associated Press

Markets:

Paulson Steps Up Gold Bet To 44% Of Firm’s Equity Assets – Bloomberg

Interest Rates Jump to Highest Level in Three Months – CNBC

Yes, we have no inflation – Washington Post

Investors Prepare for Euro Collapse – Der Spiegel

Politics:

Greece, Portugal and Spain really have benefitted most from the euro – Financial Times

Papa John’s Real ObamaCare Problem – Slate

Romney Tax Plan on Table. Debt Collapses Table. – Bloomberg

Fannie and Freddie: The Walking Dead – Bloomberg

Banks:

ECB could assume supervision in bank union – Reuters

Posted in Economics, Markets, Media, Politics.


Do You See the Bubble?

Posted in Economics, Markets.




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